Predicting the Remaining Useful Life of Lithium-Ion Batteries for Vehicle Using Machine Learning Algorithms

Authors

  • Bambang Santoso Universitas Bina Nusantara
  • Dasep Muhlis Universitas Bina Nusantara
  • Romdhon Purwanto Universitas Bina Nusantara

Keywords:

Energy efficiency, battery management system, electrified vehicle, lithium-ion batteries, machine learning, remaining useful life, orange data mining software, state of charge, state of health

Abstract

The objective of this research to predicting the remaining useful life (RUL) of Lithium-Ion Batteries (LIB’s) system by machine learning model for optimization of electrified vehicle battery storage system. Predicting RUL accurately can help extend the lifespan of batteries, reduce maintenance costs, and enhance overall system performance and safety Consequently, management system, battery state estimation, and estimation of the RUL. Various techniques are then used to predicted the model parameters, such as Linear Regression (LR), Support vector machines (SVM), Gradient Boosting (GB), AdaBoost (AB), Tree, and Random Forest (RF). The results showed that the best model is AdaBoost with a value of Mean Squared Error (MSE) is 9.816; Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) with a value is 3.133; Mean Absolute Error (MAE) with a value 1.557; Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) with a value 0.007; and R-Squared (R2) with a value 1.000. Second model is Tree regression with a value of MSE is 32.734; RMSE with a value is 5.721; MAE with a value 2.914; MAPE with a value 0.011; and R-Squared (R2) with a value 1.000. According to a result, the suggested future research activity of battery efficiency AdaBoost models are useful for managing batteries. In this paper, quantitative evaluation is presented using two datasets with different batteries under different conditions. Quantitative evaluation of predictive models, particularly for estimating the RUL of lithium-ion batteries. This structured approach ensures a comprehensive and transparent presentation of the quantitative evaluation, allowing readers to understand the effectiveness of different predictive models under varying conditions. In addition, it is important to highlight that effective management and accurate prediction of battery usage can significantly contribute to improving the efficiency and sustainability of energy storage systems. This promotes the adoption of clean energy, reduces emissions, and encourages innovation and collaboration.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Ahmad, T., R. Madonski, D. Zhang, C. Huang, A. & Mujeeb, A. (2022). Data-driven probabilistic machine learning in sustainable smart energy/smart energy systems: Key developments, challenges, and future research opportunities in the context of smart grid paradigm, Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews. 160:112128.

Ansari, S., Ayob, A., Hossain L. M.S., Hussain, A.., & M.H.M.. (2021). Data-Driven Remaining Useful Life Prediction for Lithium-Ion Batteries Using Multi-Charging Profile Framework: A Recurrent Neural Network Approach. Sustainability 13(23):13333. https://doi.org/10.3390/su132313333

Asnada, R. T., & Sulistyono, S. (2020). Pengaruh Inertial Measurement Unit (IMU) MPU-6050 3-Axis Gyro dan 3-Axis Accelerometer pada Sistem Penstabil Kamera (Gimbal) Untuk Aplikasi Videografi. Jurnal Teknologi Elektro, 11(1), 48-55.

Attia, P. M., Kristen, A.S. & Jeremy, D.W. ((2021). Statistical learning for accurate and interpretable battery lifetime prediction, Journal of The Electrochemical Society, 168(9):090547.

Barre, A., Deguilhem, B., Grolleau, S., M. Gérard, F. Suard, & Riu, D. (2021). A review on lithium-ion battery ageing mechanisms and estimations for automotive applications, Journal Power Sources, 241 680-689

Bobanac, V. Basic, H. & Pandzic, H. (2021). Determining Lithium-ion Battery One-way Energy Efficiencies: Influence of C-rate and Coulombic Losses, IEEE Eurocon, 385-389.

Che, Y., Deng, Z., Lin, X., Hu L. & Hu, X. (2021). Predictive Battery Health Management With Transfer Learning and Online Model Correction," IEEE Transactions on Vehicular Technology, 70(2), 1269-1277, Feb. 2021, doi: 10.1109/TVT.2021.3055811

Chen, Z., Zhao, H., Zhang, Y., Shen, S., Shen, J., & Liu, Y. (2022). State of health estimation for lithium-ion batteries based on temperature prediction and gated recurrent unit neural network, Journal Power Sources, 521, 230892.

Cui, Z., Hu, W., Zhang, G., Zhang, Z. & Chen, Z. (2022). An extended Kalman filter based SOC estimation method for Li-ion battery," Energy Rep., 8, 81-87.

Florences, M. A. Cecilia, R. & Castello, C. (2023). Modelling and Estimation in Lithium-Ion Batteries: A Literature Review, Energies, 16, 6846, https://doi.org/10.3390/en16196846

Gu, W. J. Z., Sun, C. Wei, X. Z. & Dai, H. F. (2010). Review of methods for battery life modeling and their applications,"Appl. Mech. Mater., 2932, 2392-2397

Hasib, S. A., Islam; Ripon K. Chakrabortty; Michael J. Ryan; D. K. Saha; Md H. Ahamed; S. I. Moyeen; Sajal K. (2021). A Comprehensive Review of Available Battery Datasets, RUL Prediction Approaches, and Advanced Battery Management," IEEE Access, 9, 86166-86193, doi: 10.1109/ACCESS.2021.3089032

Henni, S., Becker, J., Staudt, P., Scheidt, F.V., & Weinhardt, C. (2022). Industrial peak shaving with battery storage using a probabilistic forecasting approach: Economic evaluation of risk attitude. Applied Energy, 327. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2022.120088.

Hossain, M., Haque, M. E. & Arif, M. T. (2022). Kalman filtering techniques for the online model parameters and state of charge estimation of the Li-ion batteries: A comparative analysis, Journal Energy Storage, 51(7) 2022, 104174.

Huo, Q., Ma, X. Zhao, T. Zhang & Zhang, Y. (2021). Bayesian Network Based State-of-Health Estimation for Battery on Electric Vehicle Application and its Validation Through Real-World Data, IEEE Access, 9, 11328-11341, doi: 10.1109/ACCESS.2021.3050557

Jafari, S & Byun, Y. C. (2022). Prediction of the Battery State Using the Digital Twin Framework Based on the Battery Management System," IEEE Access, 10, 124685-124696, doi: 10.1109/ACCESS.2022.3225093

Javaid, M., Haleem, A., Singh, R.P., Suman, R. & Gonzalez, E.S. (2022). Understanding the adoption of Industry 4.0 technologies in improving environmental sustainability, Sustain. Operating Computer, 3, 203–217.

Khan, S., He, X., Ozturk, I, & Murshed, M. (2023). The role of renewable energy investment in tackling climate change concerns: Environmental policies for achieving SDG-13, Sustain. Dev. 2023, 31, 1888–1901.

Kumar, R. R., Bharatiraja, C., Udhayakumar, K., Devakirubakaran, S., Sekar, K.S. and Mihet-Popa, L. (2023). Advances in Batteries, Battery Modeling, Battery Management System, Battery Thermal Management, SOC, SOH, and Charge/Discharge Characteristics in EV Applications. IEEE Access, 11, 105761-105809. doi: 10.1109/ACCESS.2023.3318121

Kumba, K., Simon, S.P., Gundu, V., Upender, P., Ra, N., & Sarkar, M. (2024). An Evaluation of Battery Degradation and Predictive Methods Under Resistive Load Caused by Intermittent Solar Radiation. IEEE Access, 12, 33720-33729.

Lipu M. H. et al., (2018). Areviewof state of health and remaining useful life estimation methods for lithium-ion battery in electric vehicles: Challenges and recommendations, Journal Cleaner Prod., 205, 115-133.

Liu, Z., Sun, G., Shuhui B, Han, J., Tang, X., & Pecht. M. (2016). Particle learning framework for estimating the remaining useful life of lithium-ion batteries. IEEE Transactions on Instrumentation and Measurement, 66(2):280–293, doi: 10.1109/TIM.2016. 2622838.

Luque, J., Tepe, B., Larios, D., León, C., & Hesse, H. (2023). Machine Learning Estimation of Battery Efficiency and Related Key Performance Indicators in Smart Energy Systems. Energies, 16(14), 5548. https://doi.org/10.3390/en16145548

Luque, J., Tepe, B., Larios, D., León, C., & Hesse, H. (2023). Machine Learning Estimation of Battery Efficiency and Related Key Performance Indicators in Smart Energy Systems. Energies, 16(14), 5548. https://doi.org/10.3390/en16145548

Nurdin, M. A., Erislan, E., & Ramli, S. (2023). Analisis Pengaruh Kedisiplinan Kerja, Keselamatan dan Kesehatan Kerja (K3), Serta Lingkungan Kerja Terhadap Kinerja Karyawan PT. BBIC BERCA CABLES di Kabupaten Tangerang. Jurnal Untuk Masyarakat Sehat (JUKMAS), 7(2), 120-130.

Rasul, K., Seward, C. I.., Schuster, R. Vollgraf, R (2021). Autoregressive Denoising Diffusion Models for Multivariate Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting." In Proceedings of the 2021 International Conference on Machine Learning, Virtual, 18–24.

Santoso, B., & Kasih, T. P. (2024). Green Lean Concept for Measurement of Sustainable Performance Mediated by Organizational Culture in Oil & Gas and Petrochemical Industry. International Review of Management and Marketing, 14(5), 88-100. DOI: https://doi.org/10.32479/irmm.16621

Sekhar, J.N.C., Domathoti, B., Santibanez E.D.R. & Gonzalez, (2023). Prediction of Battery Remaining Useful Life Using Machine Learning Algorithms, Sustainability, 15, 15283.

Shen, P., Ouyang, M., Lu, J. Li & Feng, X. (2018). The Co-estimation of State of Charge, State of Health, and State of Function for Lithium-Ion Batteries in Electric Vehicles," IEEE Transactions on Vehicular Technology, 67(1) 92-103, doi: 10.1109/TVT.2017.2751613

Utama, A. A., Benavides, J., Dindoruk, B., Onitiri, M., & Zargar, Z. (2024, April). Case Study: Assessment of Predictive Capability of Reservoir Simulators for Waterfloods in Carbonates: How Realistic is My Simulation Model?. In SPE Improved Oil Recovery Conference? (p. D031S014R001). SPE.

Wang, Y., D. Yang, X. Zhang, X. & Chen, Z. (2016). Probability based remaining capacity estimation using data-driven and neural network model, Journal Power Sources, 315, 199–208.

Wu, Y., W. Li, Y. Wang & Zhang, K. (2019). Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Lithium-Ion Batteries Using Neural Network and Bat-Based Particle Filter, IEEE Access, 7, 54843-54854, doi: 10.1109/ACCESS.2019.2913163

Xi, M. Dahmardeh, B. Xia, Y. Fu & Mi, C. (2019. Learning of Battery Model Bias for Effective State of Charge Estimation of Lithium-Ion Batteries, IEEE Transactions on Vehicular Technology, .68(9). 8613-8628, Sept. 2019, doi: 10.1109/TVT.2019.2929197

Xia. Z & Abu. J. A. (2021). State-of-Charge Balancing of Lithium-Ion Batteries With State-of-Health Awareness Capability, IEEE Transactions on Industry Applications, 57,(1)1, 673-684, doi: 10.1109/TIA.2020.3029755

Xing, L. Ng. X. & Tsui, K.L. (2014). A Naïve Bayes Method for Robust Remaining Useful Life Prediction for Lithium-ion Battery, Appl. Energy, 118, 114–123.

Yang, R., Xiong, H. He, H. Mu and Wang, C. (2017). A novel method on estimating the degradation and state of charge of lithium-ion batteries used for electrical vehicles, Appl. Energy, 207, 336-345

Yazdani, M. Gonzalez, E.D. & Chatterjee, P.A. (2021). Multi-criteria decision-making framework for agriculture supply chain risk management under a circular economy context, Management Decision, 59, 1801–1826.

Yun, J., Choi, T., Lee, J., Choi, S. &Shin, C. (2023). State-of-Charge Estimation Method for Lithium-Ion Batteries Using Extended Kalman Filter With Adaptive Battery Parameters, IEEE Access, 11, 90901-90915, 2023, doi:10.1109/ACCESS.2023.3305950

Zhang, M., Mu, Z. & Sun, C. (2018). Remaining Useful Life Prediction for Lithium-Ion Batteries Based on Exponential Model and Particle Filter, IEEE Access, vol. 6, pp. 17729-17740, 2018, doi: 10.1109/ACCESS.2018.2816684

Downloads

Published

2025-06-10

How to Cite

Santoso, B., Muhlis, D., & Purwanto, R. (2025). Predicting the Remaining Useful Life of Lithium-Ion Batteries for Vehicle Using Machine Learning Algorithms. International Journals of Industrial Engineering (IJIE), 1(1), 1-13. https://ecogreenjournals.com/ijie/article/view/26